October 1, 2019

Apparent Skepticism About the Imminence of the Second Advent

The data may surprise, astonish, amaze, and maybe even unnerve.

Adventist Review Editors

The graphics in these two pages represent data from two thoroughly unrelated sources. One is the General Conference of Seventh-day Adventists, through its unit of Archives, Statistics and Research [ASTR]; the other is the Pew Research Center.  The data may surprise, astonish, amaze, and maybe even unnerve . Hopefully, more than anything else, it help to show where the Church is on some specific issue, where we can help each other to be, and how we may best distribute our resources and offer up our prayers. 

—Editors.

Survey by Adventist Archives and Statistics:*

38 1Question statement: I expect the world to end within the next 20 years.

22%  Strongly agree

18%  Agree more than disagree

45%  Strongly disagree

15%  Disagree more than agree



38 2Second Coming in my lifetime (56,280 respondents):

4%    Strongly disagree 

22%  Agree

5%    Disagree

34%  Strongly agree

35%  Not sure    

Of the Adventist world divisions:

The South Pacific Division has the highest percentage of members who strongly agree with this statement.

The Euro-Asia, Trans-European, and North American Divisions have the highest percentage of members who are unsure about whether Jesus will come in their lifetime.


End-time prophecies (54,572 respondents):

1% I don’t accept them.

3% I have major doubts about them.

9% I have some questions about them.

21% I accept it because the church teaches them.

66% I embrace them wholeheartedly.

Of the Adventist world divisions:

Except for the Southern Asia Division (38 percent), most respondents in all divisions wholeheartedly accept end-time prophecies and more than 80 percent in all divisions agree on the soon Second Coming.


Second Coming very near (57,247 respondents):

38 3 2% I don’t accept it.

 1% I have major doubts about it.

4% I have some questions about it.

22% I accept it because the church teaches it.

71% I embrace it wholeheartedly.

Of the Adventist world divisions:

The Inter-American Division has the highest percentage of members who embrace it wholeheartedly.

The Northern Asia-Pacific Division has the highest percentage of members who are unsure.

The Southern Asia-Pacific Division has the highest number of members who don’t accept it.

The Pew Research Center did a similar poll among 2,003 American adults. Of the respondents, 1,670 identified as Christian.*

Do you believe in the second coming of Christ?

79%  Yes

17%  No

4%  Don’t know



38 5Is the time of the Second Coming revealed in biblical prophecies?

33%Yes

40%No

6%Don’t know

21%Don’t believe in Second Coming


Before the Second Coming, the world situation will . . .

34% Worsen

4% Improve

37% Unknowable

4% Don’t know

21% Don’t believe in Second Coming.


38 6Do you believe that Jesus will return to earth in your lifetime?

20%Yes       

39%  No

14%  Unknowable

6%  Don’t know

21%  Don’t believe in Second Coming


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